For those who focus on the market Reports of declining consumer demand for PCs have almost become soundtracks in recent months, so for many the key question is how much and when will the market shrink in 2022? It will recover. IDC said on Friday the market will shrink 43.5 million units year-on-year in 2022 and will not resume growth next year.
IDC believes PC shipments will reach 305.3 million in 2022, a 12.8 percent drop from 348.8 million in 2021. Tablet sales will drop to 156.8 million, or 6.8% from the previous year. Shipping of personal computer equipment (PC and Tablet PCD) will drop to 462.1 million units, an increase of 10.8% in 2022 compared to 2021. PCD sales will contract another 2.3% in 2023 before rebounding in 2018. 2024, however, although shipments of PCs and tablets are higher than in the pre-epidemic period. But it will not return to its pre-epidemic peak, even in 2025.
IDC sees PC saturation in the hands of consumers. weak global economy And inflation is the main reason for the downward trend.
Researcher Jitesh Ubrani said: “Long-term demand will be driven by a slow economic recovery. coupled with enterprise hardware refreshes. As support for Windows 10 is nearing its end, hybrid and educational applications are also expected to become the mainstays driving additional volumes. Manager for IDC Mobility and Consumer Device Trackers
One thing that has been highlighted recently is that consumers are slowing down their PC and tablet spending. As the enterprise market continues to buy new hardware, IDC actually believes consumers will buy 9.9% fewer PCDs this year, while corporate purchases will shrink slightly by 1.6%. lead this group As small businesses plan to cut procurement by 10.5% in 2022 while the government (government agencies, schools) will reduce PCD consumption by 20.3%.
Linn Huang, vice president of Devices & Displays Research at IDC, said: “With the rapid economic winds, We expect deteriorating consumer confidence to further shrink the consumer market over the next six quarters.” “An economic recovery just in time for the next major refresh cycle could drive growth. During the year outside of our forecast Although the volume did not reach the peak of the pandemic. But we expect the consumer market to move more towards the premium end of the market.”
IDC’s data was indirectly confirmed by a Jon Peddie Research report earlier this week. This indicates that PC CPU shipments to PC manufacturers are down 33.7% year-on-year. and discrete desktop graphics card sales fell 9.6% YoY in Q2 2022, where IDC counted PC cases sold to distributors or end users, while JPR counted chips sold to distributors. hardware manufacture Fewer chips shipped to PC makers in Q2 2022. Fewer PCs will be sold in the next quarter or so.